AGP Executive Report

2027 Campaign Kick-off: Adamawa Governor’s deputy, Kaletapwa Farauta, inaugurated APC presidential and NASS campaigns in Yola, urging door-to-door mobilisation for APC candidates ahead of 2027. Electoral Integrity Push: ADC in Abuja demanded an end to electoral manipulation and voter intimidation, citing violence around the Osun governorship poll. Media Rules for Elections: NBC warned broadcasters and online publishers against misinformation, hate speech and unverified political claims as campaigns begin for 2027. FCT Flood Enforcement: Nyesom Wike ordered demolition of Abuja buildings blocking waterways, warning senators and “big men” won’t be spared, with work to end by Aug. 22. Consumer Protection: FCCPC ordered manufacturers and importers to withdraw goods with misleading or incomplete labels. Mental Health Reform: FEC approved amendments to decriminalise attempted suicide under Nigeria’s Mental Health Act. Housing for Civil Servants: FG began construction of 250 two-bedroom bungalows for federal workers in Gwagwalada, Abuja. Power Sector Boost: Japan (JICA) committed N20bn to rehabilitate Nigeria’s national grid, including Apapa substation. Security Tension in Abuja: Armed soldiers and police blocked retired military personnel from protesting unpaid pension adjustments at the Ministry of Defence.

Election Season Tensions: Nigeria’s 2027 presidential campaigns kick off amid warnings over cyber attacks and AI misinformation, while EU and Switzerland urge parties to run fair, credible, peaceful polls and Tinubu calls for restraint after the National Peace Accord signing in Abuja. Security Crisis in the Middle Belt: Gunmen attacked Bin-Per in Mangu LGA, Plateau State, killing at least 24 and burning dozens of homes in a house-to-house raid, as residents plead for faster protection and emergency support. Anti-Competitive Probe: FCCPC says it has preliminary findings of possible cement price manipulation and summons key players after a cross-border study, despite Nigeria’s large production capacity. Power Sector Push: NISO and NBET vow closer collaboration to tackle electricity market liquidity and improve stable supply. Maritime Trade Win: US lifts a 12-year Condition of Entry on Nigerian vessels, a boost for port competitiveness and maritime security. Economy & Markets: Nigeria slips to third in global stock market performance rankings as South Korea and Ghana surge ahead. Human Rights Pressure: NHRC records a spike to 354,997 complaints in July, with a new push to close Nigeria’s justice gap.

2027 Elections & Peace Talks: Presidential candidates and party leaders in Abuja signed the first National Peace Accord for the 2027 polls, with Tinubu represented by SGF George Akume and INEC and security chiefs in attendance, as parties also move to start campaigns within INEC’s legal timetable. INEC Voter Register Clean-Up: INEC says it will deploy about 1.4m ad-hoc staff across 176,000 polling units and use ABIS under continuous voter registration to remove duplicates, warning of threats like vote-buying, hate speech and disinformation. FCT Flood Crackdown: FCT Minister Nyesom Wike visited flooded Maitama areas and ordered demolition of houses blocking water channels, saying there will be no “sacred cows” even if politicians are involved. Human Rights Update: NHRC reports 354,997 rights complaints in July and flags rising child sexual violence cases, urging urgent action. Drug War: NDLEA says it dismantled a cocaine cartel using Nigeria as a transit route, arresting “KC Luxury” and recovering 184.5kg of cocaine worth about N39bn. Security & Violence: Gunmen killed at least 24 in Plateau, and separate attacks in Adamawa left a police inspector and seven others dead. Economy & Cost of Living: FCCPC warns cement prices may be manipulated despite Nigeria’s excess production capacity, while CBN reiterates commitment to monetary and financial stability. Sports & Education: Team Edo’s grassroots sports investment is credited for multiple Abuja and Asaba wins; UI and UNILAG lead Nigeria in Webometrics rankings.

Health: A registered dietitian, Sarah Abagai, warned parents against improperly preparing infant formula—especially over-diluting it to make it last longer—and against leaving babies unattended during bottle-feeding, saying poor feeding can trigger ear infections and water intoxication. Governance/Restructuring: PANDEF and citizens’ groups renewed calls for restructuring, proposing 15 federated regions, state police, resource control and a return to fiscal federalism to tackle insecurity and over-centralisation. Labour/Workers: Borno Governor Babagana Zulum approved promotion salary benefits and leave grants for civil servants, plus a review of arrears in education sectors, and set up a task force for local government minimum wage implementation. Anti-corruption/Crime: EFCC began investigating Haruna Yusuf after Customs intercepted undeclared foreign currencies at Kano airport. Sports: The NFF ordered the Super Falcons’ technical crew to step down after Nigeria failed to qualify for the 2027 Women’s World Cup. Economy/Markets: Nigeria’s inflation eased to 15.43% in July, while the naira gained N8.07 at the official market. Security/Drugs: Customs handed NDLEA cannabis cookies worth N373.8m. Public Health: The EU released €2.3m emergency funding to curb cholera, with Nigeria getting €1.5m. Abuja Flooding: Senator Ireti Kingibe blamed Abuja’s flooding on construction on green areas and blocked flood channels.

AfCFTA Customs Deal Under Scrutiny: AfCFTA’s Secretariat awarded a $3.1bn, 20-year concession to Bergmans Security Consultants to digitise and harmonise customs across 50 African countries, but analysts are raising red flags over the firm’s limited public track record. Inflation Watch: Nigeria’s headline inflation eased to 15.43% in July 2026, down from 15.91% in June, while food inflation jumped to 20.31%, with prices of staples like rice, yam, plantain, pepper and onions driving the rise. Cholera Response Boost: The EU approved €1.5m emergency aid for Nigeria’s cholera response, including more intervention teams, cholera kits, water and sanitation support, and stronger surveillance. Security & Justice: FG deployed a standardised justice platform to track violence against women cases, aiming to improve reporting, accountability and data. Abuja Flooding: Heavy rain again wreaked havoc in Abuja, with flash flooding submerging cars and leaving residents counting losses. Aviation Cost Shock: Air Peace said it lost about $42m in revenue after repeated aircraft damage linked to ground-handling operations. Sports: NFF President Gusau inaugurated a fact-finding committee to probe Nigeria’s national teams’ setbacks after the Super Falcons’ World Cup qualification failure.

Crypto Tax Shock: Nigeria’s new tax rules for virtual asset transfers introduce a 1.5% stamp duty, with industry groups warning it could push users to unregulated foreign platforms and weaken Africa’s biggest crypto market. Osun Election Fallout: President Bola Tinubu congratulated re-elected Governor Ademola Adeleke, urging unity after the vote, while Atiku said Osun’s outcome shows APC is losing grip ahead of 2027. Anti-Corruption Update: EFCC says it has recovered $60m from Nestoil and agreed a structured repayment plan with lenders, a step toward settling a long-running debt dispute. Security and Justice: Police, via INTERPOL Abuja, arrested and repatriated a Chadian murder suspect wanted over the May 2026 killing of Nazik Mahamat Saleh. FCT Land Tension: Abuja natives demand clarity on a proposed ranching scheme, questioning its legal basis and impact on land rights and livelihoods. Transport Regulation: Lagos reiterates a ban on daily use of dealer number plates, warning of impoundment and prosecution for violations. Economy/Markets: Bank of Industry’s N250bn bond offer drew strong institutional demand and was oversubscribed quickly, signalling investor appetite for long-term funding.

Osun Election Aftermath: The Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF) has congratulated re-elected Osun Governor Ademola Adeleke, saying his strides and “personality” paid off at the August 15 poll, while also praising opposition parties and security agencies for keeping violence low. Political Deal Claims: Adeleke’s camp dismissed claims of a political pact with President Tinubu, insisting the governor’s endorsement is based on Tinubu’s reforms and Osun voters’ choice, after Keyamo hinted “agreement is agreement.” Electoral Standards: Yiaga Africa urged INEC to replicate Osun’s election success in 2027, calling for stronger enforcement against vote buying and intimidation and better transparency on results viewing. FCT Land Administration: FCT Minister Nyesom Wike says 26,272 Certificates of Occupancy were signed under Tinubu’s administration, with faster processing to help landowners access loans. Security Update: Nigerian troops killed five terrorists, rescued abductees and arrested suspects in intelligence-led operations across regions, including Borno and Yobe. Rights in Focus: Abuja lawyer Etaba Agbor urged release of Cross River commentator Dennis Odama, alleging his cyberbullying arrest violates fundamental rights. Youth, Jobs and Skills: A new report highlights Nigeria’s unemployment crisis hiding in plain sight, arguing training choices and hiring realities don’t match. Sports Reform Debate: Football administrator Ebi Egbe called for urgent overhaul of Nigeria’s football system after repeated national team failures, including the Super Falcons missing the Women’s World Cup. Maritime Regulation: A maritime expert warns the new NPERA port regulator must avoid overlapping mandates with NPA to prevent fresh regulatory conflict.

Osun Guber Update: INEC collation in Osogbo shows Accord’s Ademola Adeleke leading after winning 19 of 30 LGAs, with APC’s Bola Oyebamiji taking 11; results trickled in across several LGAs including Adeleke wins in Ede North, Ede South, Osogbo, Iwo, Orolu, Odo-Otin, Oriade, Ife East and Egbedore, while Oyebamiji scored in Irewole and Atakumosa East, and the two split Ejigbo and Ife South. Election Integrity Concerns: EU Observer Hub reports 38 security incidents and 323 electoral offences/irregularities, including 103 vote-trading cases and BVAS glitches, as Amnesty International calls for investigation of alleged inflammatory remarks by Senator Francis Fadahunsi. Security Alert: Police in Borno recovered and safely disarmed an unexploded hand grenade in Maiduguri, warning residents not to touch suspected explosives. Economy & Markets: CBN data says Nigeria’s overnight financing market hit a new monthly record of N104.9tn in July 2026, while banks are shifting credit toward agriculture (N3.86tn) as oil and gas exposure declines. Governance & Social Policy: PTAD disbursed ₦3.82bn pension arrears to 30,356 retirees, and UBEC says no child’s circumstances should block access to quality education.

Osun Election Watch: EU observers say Osun’s off-cycle governorship poll has seen 38 security incidents and 323 electoral offences across 726 polling units monitored by noon, including 103 vote-trading cases and BVAS malfunctions in some centres, as INEC begins uploading results on IReV. Vote-buying Tension: In Ejigbo, youths allegedly chased suspected vote buyers and seized cash at polling units, while violence at another unit reportedly forced voters, officials and observers to flee and disrupted voting. Political Court Challenge: Atiku Abubakar has filed a case at the Federal High Court, Abuja, seeking Tinubu’s disqualification over allegations of a forged NYSC certificate. Security & Justice: Police say they arrested and repatriated a Chadian murder suspect wanted over the torture and killing of Nazik Mahamat Saleh. Wildlife Crisis: “Wild Africa” highlights Nigeria’s elephant collapse and its role as a transit route for illegal ivory and pangolin trafficking. Sports: Nigeria’s Junior D’Tigress qualify for the 2027 FIBA U19 Women’s World Cup in China.

Election Security in Osun: Nigeria Police announced a 42-hour restriction of movement in Osun ahead of Saturday’s governorship election, warning non-state groups like Amotekun against election security roles. Court Battles in 2027 Polls: Atiku Abubakar filed in Abuja to stop Tinubu’s 2027 bid, alleging forged NYSC certificate records, while courts also restrained Imo authorities and police from disrupting Ugochinyere’s rallies. Terror Financing Crackdown: SEC ordered capital market operators to freeze assets linked to designated terrorism financiers, as it also admitted blockchain into its regulatory incubation programme. Anti-Corruption Push: ICPC boss Musa Aliyu said reforms must go beyond arrests to strengthen systems that prevent abuse. Christian Protection and Violence: Reports say Fulani herdsmen killed at least 15 Christians in Plateau since Aug. 2, and Nigeria-US talks reviewed protection of Christians and accountability for violence. Football Fallout: NFF set up a committee to probe Nigeria’s national teams after Super Falcons missed the Women’s World Cup for the first time. Economy and Business: Dangote Refinery plans a retail-focused IPO in October, with no foreign listing for now, while Agusto withdrew Geregu Power’s ‘A’ rating after bond default. Public Health and Safety: FG and Nestle launched a nationwide campaign on unsafe drinking water; in Abuja, NSCDC trained private guards to detect threats early. Culture and Society: Camp Sarah in Kubwa is training Jewish children through a summer day camp, while Opleka Festival in Benue highlights Etulo cultural renewal.

Osun Election Security: Nigeria Police ban Amotekun and other non-state groups from election security roles, and impose movement restriction in Osun from midnight Friday to 6pm Saturday, as INEC and observers push for peaceful, transparent voting. Court Orders Probe: Abuja magistrate court in Wuse Zone 6 ordered police to investigate Osun East senator Francis Fadahunsi over alleged violent incitement comments ahead of the poll. Osun Tension Watch: Civil society Situation Room warns of inflammatory rhetoric and unverified claims, urging candidates to stop threats and incitement as security personnel are deployed. Benue Kidnapping: Bandits abduct 14 passengers along Ankpechi–Omutele axis; police say five, including a four-year-old, were rescued in a gun battle, with nine still held. Tinubu Certificate Fight Goes EU: Atiku’s team petitions the EU Commission in Brussels over alleged certificate forgery and a US $460,000 civil forfeiture case tied to drug allegations. Capital Market Terror Freeze: SEC orders capital market operators to freeze assets of six individuals and three entities tagged terrorist financiers by the Nigeria Sanctions Committee. Water Safety Push: FG and Nestlé launch a nationwide campaign to teach communities safe drinking water handling and testing. Football: NFF sets up a fact-finding committee after Super Falcons’ historic failure to qualify for the 2027 Women’s World Cup; coach Justin Madugu accepts responsibility. Abuja Rights Ruling: FCT High Court grants interim injunction restraining Imo govt and security agencies from disrupting lawmaker Ugochinyere’s rallies and billboards.

Women’s Football: Nigeria’s Super Falcons crashed out of the 2027 Women’s World Cup after a 2-1 loss to South Africa in the play-off in Morocco, ending nine straight World Cup appearances; Thembi Kgatlana and Refiloe Jane scored for Banyana Banyana, while Uchenna Ucheibe netted a late penalty as Nigeria’s World Cup dream died for the first time since 1991. Osun Election Security: Ahead of Saturday’s Osun governorship vote, INEC’s sensitive materials have arrived in Osogbo for distribution, while Amnesty International says it will “name and shame” Senator Francis Fadahunsi internationally over alleged electoral violence incitement; a court has also ordered police to investigate his comments. Energy & Economy: Aradel Holdings targets petrol production at its Rivers modular refinery in 2027, citing improved economics after subsidy removal; meanwhile, Dangote Refinery’s equity raise led by AFC has closed at $2.5bn, oversubscribed 3.7 times, as the plant eyes 1.4m bpd capacity. Oil Governance: NEITI audit issues have sparked a Senate Public Accounts Committee clash, with the Finance Ministry accusing NNPCL and others of withholding records over a $3bn pre-export loan and $722.6m NLNG dividends/interest. FX & Banking: The naira strengthened after CBN eased FX and securities restrictions on banks’ discount window access, though FX deal volumes fell. Diaspora Investment: FG urged Nigerians abroad to shift from remittances to structured investments, mentoring and SME partnerships through a Nigeria-Canada diaspora economic conference in Toronto. Abuja & FCT Politics: Abuja natives rejected the federal ranching policy pilot in the FCT, warning it violates the Abuja Master Plan and threatens ancestral lands.

Osun Election, Violence Watch: Amnesty International says it will “name and shame” politicians inciting violence ahead of Saturday’s Osun governorship vote, targeting Senator Francis Fadahunsi over alleged “kill” rhetoric. Security Talks: Nigeria and the US began a Joint Working Group meeting in Washington to deepen counterterrorism cooperation, intelligence sharing and border security. Policing Bill: FG extended the deadline for memoranda on the National Policing Bill by eight days to Friday, Aug. 21. Customs Crackdown Claims: Nigeria Customs Service denied reports of smuggling surge, revenue leakage and manipulation, citing ongoing seizures and explaining its 846 valuation code. EFCC, Pay-TV Dispute: MultiChoice petitioned EFCC over alleged economic sabotage and signal piracy by Moreplex TV, claiming losses of over ₦2bn. Mental Health, Police: An EOD-CBRN police constable in Ibadan resigned, citing depression, frustration and declining morale. FCT, Parenting Concern: Residents warn excessive phone screen time is weakening parent-child communication in Abuja. Telecoms Growth: Airtel says it has added 1,000+ new 5G sites in a year and is nearing 18,000 total cell sites nationwide. Sports, CAF: Rangers and Shooting Stars will host CAF home matches at MKO Abiola Stadium, Abeokuta.

Earth Tremor in Abuja: The Minister of Solid Minerals, Dr. Dele Alake, ordered regular updates after mild tremors were reported in parts of the FCT, with the Nigerian Geological Survey Agency tracing an Aug. 4 “light event” to shallow activity. Osun Election Tension: Osun Governor Ademola Adeleke urged workers to mobilise for Saturday’s vote, while the Accord Party asked the EU to monitor the poll over alleged violence, arrests and intimidation. CBN FX Liquidity Reform: The Central Bank removed restrictions that barred institutions accessing its discount window from FX and primary government securities deals, aiming to improve money market functioning. Flood Warnings in Niger State: Northern Senators Forum demanded a permanent Shiroro flood plan, including dam operations review, forecasting and resettlement. Energy/Policy: West Africa regulators pushed a regional carbon market platform in Abuja, targeting a $294bn climate finance gap. Health & Security: WHO warned Ebola is accelerating; Nigeria also saw renewed focus on deradicalising former Boko Haram fighters, amid calls for accountability before reintegration.

Court-Martial Update: The General Court-Martial in Abuja trying 36 alleged coup plotters admits detention conditions are “not ideal,” with lawyers and families facing restricted access, though it says the limits can’t last indefinitely. Osun Election Tension: Ahead of the Aug. 15 governorship poll, Atiku warns INEC, police and the military against militarising elections and urges transparent voting; separately, Osun police arrest four suspects over alleged attempted murder and firearms, while Senator Francis Fadahunsi reports to police over a viral “kill” remark. Appeal Court Ruling: The Court of Appeal in Abuja sets aside a Federal High Court judgment recognising expelled Shehu Gabam as SDP chairman. Fiscal Transparency Pushback: The U.S. says Nigeria’s budget disclosures still fall short on revenue, spending and procurement transparency. Oil Output: Nigeria sustains 1.5mbpd crude output for a third month despite a July dip. Livestock Partnership: Nigeria and U.S. firms explore cooperation on livestock genetics, feed and technology. Human Rights & Civic Space: Groups reject a proposed Foreign Aids bill, warning it could clamp down on NGOs and rights defenders. Conservation Alarm: Experts warn Nigeria’s elephants are near extinction as habitat loss and conflicts shrink the wild population.

Security & Unity: President Tinubu urged Nigerians to “talk and remain” united as he backed an international security and national unity conference in Abuja, while the Sultan of Sokoto called on Christians and Muslims to stop insulting one another and reject religious superiority. Osun Election Crackdown: Police warned Osun governorship candidates and supporters against violence, intimidation, thuggery, ballot snatching, voter intimidation and vote-buying, and barred Amotekun and other non-state groups from election security duties. Religious Tension Probe: NHRC, CAN, PFN and others demanded the arrest and prosecution of cleric Sheikh Yahaya Jingir over alleged hate speech and incitement ahead of 2027. Oil & Economy: NUPRC said Dangote Refinery dominated domestic crude supply in Q2 2026, taking 52.6m barrels, while Tinubu approved a deep offshore investment framework aimed at unlocking up to $50bn. Agriculture & Development: Japan donated $3.5m to boost Nigeria’s rice seed production, and FG sought China’s expertise to improve agricultural productivity and tackle land degradation. Health: NCDC reported 1,000 Lassa fever cases with 237 deaths and a rising fatality rate. Business & Investment: Nigeria’s International Investors Summit Nigeria 2026 in Abuja targets $100bn commitments, and CIBN pushed for SME financing hubs and innovation. Sports: Super Falcons begin World Cup playoff campaign vs South Africa, and Nigeria made fencing history at the Commonwealth event with wheelchair fencing medals.